# Kinemotion Strategic Roadmap - Executive Summary

**Current Version:** v0.28.0
**Current Market Position:** Specialized jump analysis platform (with accuracy foundation)
**MVP Strategy:** Validate market with simple web interface before investing in platform expansion
**Timeline:** 3 weeks to MVP + market feedback → Phase 2 roadmap based on customer input

______________________________________________________________________

## The Opportunity

**Market:** Sports analytics growing 22% CAGR ($6B → $36B by 2035)
**Gap:** Kinemotion has excellent accuracy but narrow distribution (library + CLI only)
**Strategy:** Get library in customers' hands first, then learn what they actually want before investing in real-time/multi-sport

**Window:** 3-4 months to ship MVP + gather feedback before competitors consolidate

______________________________________________________________________

## The Strategy: MVP-First Validation

**Phase 1: MVP Validation (Weeks 1-3)**

- Establish accuracy credibility (#10, #11)
- Build simple web interface for market access (#12)
- Get product in hands of actual coaches

**Phase 2: Market-Driven Development (Week 4+)**

- Gather feedback: What do coaches actually want?
- Decide based on data, not assumptions
- Unblock Phase 2 features (#13, #14) when customer demand validates them

**Why This Approach?**

- Lower risk: Learn before over-investing
- Faster feedback loop: Ship MVP in 3 weeks vs 6-month comprehensive platform
- Resource efficient: 1-2 developers for MVP vs 4-5 for full platform
- Data-driven: Build what customers ask for, not what we guess they want

______________________________________________________________________

## Phase 1: MVP Validation (3 Tasks - Weeks 1-3)

### 1. Fix Ankle Angle Calculation (Week 1 - 2-3 days)

**Impact:** HIGH | **Effort:** SMALL | **ROI:** 9.0

- Use foot_index instead of heel for accurate plantarflexion
- Validates ankle angle progression on real video
- **Start:** Immediately
- **Owner:** Biomechanics Specialist + Backend Dev
- **Issue:** #10 (P0)

### 2. Validate CMJ Metrics with Phase Progression Tests (Week 1-2 - 2-3 days)

**Impact:** MEDIUM | **Effort:** SMALL | **ROI:** 2.0

- Add phase progression and physiological bounds validation
- Prove metrics are reproducible and correct
- **Start:** Week 1
- **Owner:** QA Engineer + Biomechanics Specialist
- **Issue:** #11 (P0)

### 3. Build Simple Web UI MVP (Week 2-3 - 1-2 weeks)

**Impact:** CRITICAL | **Effort:** SMALL-MEDIUM | **ROI:** 10.0+

- Upload video → see metrics → export results
- Zero auth, zero real-time, zero running, zero APIs
- **Goal:** Get product in coaches' hands for feedback
- **Start:** Week 2
- **Owner:** 1 Backend Dev + 1 Frontend Dev
- **Issue:** #12 (P0)

______________________________________________________________________

## Phase 2: Market-Driven Development (Deferred - Unblock Based on Feedback)

**These features are NOT scheduled. They unblock when customers ask for them.**

### Option A: Real-Time Web Analysis (IF coaches ask for live feedback)

- WebSocket streaming, \<200ms latency
- Complexity: HIGH (3-4 weeks)
- Unblock criteria: 3+ coaches say "I need real-time"
- Issue: #12v2 (blocked, P1-if-unblocked)

### Option B: Running Gait Analysis (IF runners/coaches ask for it)

- Ground contact time, cadence, stride length
- Market: 10x larger (25M+ runners in US)
- Complexity: HIGH (2-3 weeks)
- Unblock criteria: 3+ coaches/runners say "I need running"
- Issue: #13 (blocked, P2-if-unblocked)

### Option C: API & Integrations (IF partners ask for API access)

- OpenAPI spec, webhook system, Python + JS SDKs
- Revenue: Enables partnership model
- Complexity: MEDIUM (2 weeks)
- Unblock criteria: 2+ integration partners request API
- Issue: #14 (blocked, P2-if-unblocked)

______________________________________________________________________

## Phase 1 Execution Timeline

```text
WEEK 1: FOUNDATION CREDIBILITY
├─ Issue #10: Fix ankle angle (2-3 days)
└─ Issue #11: Validate CMJ metrics (2-3 days)
   ✓ Deliverable: Accurate, validated CMJ metrics

WEEK 2-3: MVP DISTRIBUTION
└─ Issue #12: Build simple web UI (1-2 weeks)
   ✓ Deliverable: https://kinemotion-mvp.vercel.app (or similar)
   ✓ Can show to coaches: "Upload video → see metrics"

WEEK 4: MARKET VALIDATION
└─ Get 5-10 coaches using MVP
   • Feedback: "What would make this useful?"
   • Unblock criteria: Which Phase 2 feature do they want?
   ✓ Deliverable: Market feedback data
```

**See:** `docs/strategy/MVP_VALIDATION_CHECKPOINTS.md` for decision gates and Phase 2 unblock criteria

______________________________________________________________________

## MVP Success State (Week 3)

**By Week 3, Kinemotion MVP will have:**

✓ **Accuracy:** Fixed ankle angle, validated against real CMJ video
✓ **Credibility:** Phase progression tests passing, metrics reproducible
✓ **Distribution:** Simple web UI deployed and accessible
✓ **Positioning:** "Accurate CMJ analysis for coaches" (narrow scope, proven accuracy)
✓ **Data:** Market feedback from 5-10 coaches on what they actually want

______________________________________________________________________

## Future Success State (Month 6, Based on MVP Feedback)

**After MVP validation, Phase 2 roadmap will include:**

- Real-time capability (IF coaches ask for it)
- Running gait analysis (IF runners/coaches ask for it)
- API ecosystem (IF integration partners ask for it)
- Additional sports (IF market research validates demand)

**End state depends on:** Customer feedback collected during MVP phase (Week 4+)

______________________________________________________________________

## MVP Phase: Immediate Decisions Needed

1. **Web UI Tech Stack:** FastAPI + React? (recommended for speed) or other?
1. **Deployment:** Heroku/Railway for backend, Vercel for frontend (free tier)?
1. **Coach Recruitment:** How to identify and recruit 5-10 coaches for MVP testing?
1. **Feedback Format:** Survey, interviews, or embedded analytics?

______________________________________________________________________

## Phase 2: Decisions Deferred (Wait for Feedback)

- Real-Time Architecture (defer until coaches ask for it)
- Running Metrics scope (defer until runners ask for it)
- API Pricing model (defer until partners ask for API)
- Multi-Sport Priority (defer until market data available)

______________________________________________________________________

## Risk Management (MVP Phase)

| Risk                                    | Likelihood | Mitigation                                               |
| --------------------------------------- | ---------- | -------------------------------------------------------- |
| MVP takes longer than 3 weeks           | Medium     | Scope limited: upload → metrics → export only            |
| Coaches don't provide useful feedback   | Medium     | Structured feedback collection plan with clear questions |
| MVP deployment issues (Heroku/Vercel)   | Low        | Test deployment early in Week 2, have backup plan        |
| Market feedback contradicts assumptions | Medium     | That's the point - learn from real customers             |

______________________________________________________________________

## Resource Requirements (MVP Phase)

### Total: ~1-2 developers for 3 weeks

- **Biomechanics Specialist:** 50% (Issues #10, #11 - validation focus)
- **Python Backend Developer:** 100% (Issues #11, #12 - web UI backend)
- **Frontend Developer:** 100% (Issue #12 - web UI frontend)

**Notes:**

- This is significantly lower resource requirement than comprehensive platform
- Can be accomplished without Computer Vision Engineer or QA team
- Phase 2 resources allocated based on MVP feedback

______________________________________________________________________

## Immediate Actions (This Week)

1. [ ] Get stakeholder sign-off on MVP-first approach (pivot from comprehensive platform)
1. [ ] Assign Issue #10 owner (Biomechanics Specialist)
1. [ ] Assign Issue #12 owner (Backend + Frontend devs)
1. [ ] Confirm resource availability for 3-week MVP sprint
1. [ ] Identify 5-10 coaches for MVP testing (Week 4)

______________________________________________________________________

## Expected ROI & Market Impact (MVP Phase)

**MVP ROI:**

- Issue #10 ROI: 9.0 (establishes credibility)
- Issue #11 ROI: 2.0 (prevents regressions)
- Issue #12 ROI: 10.0+ (enables market validation with zero customers today)

**MVP Market Impact:**

- Week 3: "Accurate CMJ analysis" (proven via tests)
- Week 4: Real customer feedback collected
- Week 5+: Phase 2 roadmap driven by data, not assumptions

**Phase 2 Revenue Potential (to be determined by feedback):**

- Real-time: Motion-IQ model ($1000/report, subscription)
- Running: Gait analysis market (injury prevention, $50-200/month)
- APIs: Partnership revenue model (TBD based on integration demand)

______________________________________________________________________

## MVP Update (November 26, 2025)

**Strategic Direction Change:**

This document was originally written for a **6-month comprehensive platform roadmap** (#10-14 in parallel). It has been **revised to MVP-first approach**:

- **Phase 1 (Weeks 1-3):** MVP validation with 3 issues (#10, #11, #12)
- **Phase 2 (Week 4+):** Market-driven development based on customer feedback
- **Phase 2 Decision Gates:** Issues #13 and #14 unblock when customers ask for them

**Rationale:** Validate product-market fit with customers before investing 6-8 weeks and multiple developers in comprehensive platform features that may not be wanted.

**See Also:**

- `docs/strategy/MVP_VALIDATION_CHECKPOINTS.md` - Decision gates and Phase 2 criteria
- `docs/strategy/MVP_FEEDBACK_COLLECTION.md` - Coach feedback collection plan
- GitHub Issues #10-14 - Current status and unblock criteria

______________________________________________________________________

**Last Updated:** November 26, 2025 (MVP pivot)
**Original Analysis:** November 17, 2025
**For Full Market Analysis:** See STRATEGIC_ANALYSIS.md
